RPI = (0.25 * win%) + (0.5 * opponents' win%) + (0.25 * opponents' opponents' win%)
Because of this, it's very important that our opponents not crash and burn. I know at least one of you out there wants a tool to keep track of whether they do or not, because you asked for it. I bet others might like it too. So here's the deal: Every Sunday or Monday I'll update this page with last week's results and the upcoming week's games, for each of our opponents. And yes, I'll link on the side to save you time hunting for it.
I'm ignoring, by the way, games against non D-I competition, because I'm almost positive those don't count in the RPI calculations. Some opponents, we play twice, so you'll see them listed twice so as to emphasize their importance. However, any game between two teams we play, you won't see; they have a neutral effect on our RPI. You will see it if it's between one team we play twice and one we play once. In order for our RPI to be all it can be, you are always rooting for our opponents to win.
You should note, by the way, that RPI
Last week: (including Monday)
Baylor 70, SC State 50
SC State 104, Kennesaw State 98
TCU 81, Houston 80
Drake 73, Cal State-Northridge 49
Michigan 79, UCLA 63
Nevada 80, Longwood 78
Longwood 70, Prairie View A&M 67
UMKC 93, Longwood 53
George Mason 66, Albany 46
Oregon 83, Nebraska 76
Seattle 85, Montana State 73
Kansas State 92, UMES 50
Louisiana Tech 73, UMES 54
Wyoming 73, UMES 43
Portland State 79, UMES 69
Oregon State, 66, Towson 46
South Alabama 79, LSU 75
Miami 60, Florida-Gulf Coast 50
Mississippi 64, Miami 61
Duke 68, Kansas 61
Georgia Tech 72, Siena 44
Syracuse 69, Virginia Tech 58
Syracuse 69, Virginia Tech 58
Virginia Tech 59, Oklahoma State 57
Virginia Tech 59, Oklahoma State 57
Virginia Tech 73, St. Bonaventure 64
Virginia Tech 73, St. Bonaventure 64
St. Louis 61, Boston College 52
Boston College 66, UC-Riverside 62
New Mexico 75, Boston College 57
NC State 82, Elon 67
Coastal Carolina 60, Clemson 59
Coastal Carolina 60, Clemson 59
Clemson 59, Furman 49
Clemson 59, Furman 49
Florida State 73, Massachusetts 53
Florida State 73, Massachusetts 53
Harvard 46, Florida State 41
Harvard 46, Florida State 41
Connecticut 78, Florida State 76
Connecticut 78, Florida State 76
Dayton 80, Wake Forest 76
Arizona State 84, Wake Forest 56
Wake Forest 70, Texas Tech 61
North Carolina 102, Tennessee State 69
North Carolina 102, Tennessee State 69
North Carolina 87, South Carolina 62
North Carolina 87, South Carolina 62
UNLV 90, North Carolina 80
UNLV 90, North Carolina 80
Maryland 73, Florida-Gulf Coast 67
Maryland 73, Florida-Gulf Coast 67
This week:
Tuesday (29th):
SC State @ Georgia State
Oregon vs. UTEP
LSU @ Houston
Miami @ Purdue
Duke @ Ohio State
Georgia Tech vs. Northwestern
Clemson @ Iowa
Clemson @ Iowa
Maryland vs. Illinois
Maryland vs. Illinois
Wednesday (30th):
George Mason vs Bucknell, 7:00
Drexel @ St. Joseph's, 7:00
UMES vs. Navy, 7:00
Towson @ Massachusetts, 7:00
Boston College vs. Penn State, 7:15
NC State vs. Indiana, 7:15
Florida State @ Michigan State, 7:30
Florida State @ Michigan State, 7:30
TCU vs. Lamar, 8:00
Drake @ Boise State, 9:00
Virginia Tech @ Minnesota, 9:15
Virginia Tech @ Minnesota, 9:15
Wake Forest @ Nebraska, 9:15
North Carolina @ Wisconsin, 9:30
North Carolina @ Wisconsin, 9:30
Thursday (1st):
Winthrop @ Presbyterian, 7:00
Wisc.-Green Bay @ Illinois-Chicago, 8:00
Seattle vs. Stanford, 10:10
Friday (2nd):
- none -
Saturday (3rd):
Michigan vs. Iowa State, 12:00
North Carolina @ Kentucky, 12:00
North Carolina @ Kentucky, 12:00
Miami vs. Massachusetts, 1:00
Wake Forest vs. Richmond, 1:00
Georgia Tech @ Tulane, 2:00
Boston College vs. Boston University, 2:00
Drexel @ Delaware, 4:00
UMES vs. Delaware State, 4:00
Oregon vs. Brigham Young, 5:00
Winthrop @ Gardner-Webb, 7:00
LSU @ Rutgers, 7:00
Drake vs. Air Force, 8:00
Wisc.-Green Bay vs. Loyola (IL), 8:00
TCU @ Evansville, 8:05
Sunday (4th):
Seattle @ Harvard, 2:00
Clemson vs. South Carolina, 3:30
Clemson vs. South Carolina, 3:30
NC State @ Stanford, 4:00
Maryland vs. Notre Dame, 4:45
Maryland vs. Notre Dame, 4:45
Virginia Tech vs. Kansas State, 5:30
Virginia Tech vs. Kansas State, 5:30
Good times:
-- Michigan couldn't quite catch up to Duke (though it hardly matters since both are on the schedule once), but they had a strong Maui showing all the same, the better for us for beating them. They'll have a terrific SOS of their own, which reflects well on the ol' RPI, so you really want them to deal with that schedule effectively.
-- Any Longwood win is basically amazing.
-- Duke beat Kansas. A-C-C! A-C-C! Right?
Bad times:
-- LSU probably shouldn't be losing to South Alabama.
-- Harvard is going to have a very good team this year, but that doesn't mean FSU should be losing to them. Kind of a lousy week all around in the ACC what with Clemson also losing to Coastal Carolina. That's a baseball school for chrissake.
3 comments:
Watching the game tonight, the one concern I had about the team seemed to stand out a bit - I'm just not sure that there's that one guy that can break down a defense and create opportunities when needed. Now, that isn't the dagger that it might be, as this team is quite solid elsewhere, with a potentially good inside/outside game, and Jontel's shot looks improved. But it is a concern, and I'm not sure anyone on the current roster is going to significantly alleviate it.
A bit disappointed in the defense in the first half/start of the 2nd half. Sene made a couple stupid fouls that I recall. That said, it's early, so things should/hopefully settle down, but I think we really need Brogdon to develop into that wing stopper, to go with Jontel. Winthrop got some lucky shots off, but they were also attacking the basket.
"...RPI doesn't care whether you won on the road..."
I'm pretty sure the RPI takes into account whether you win on the road or at home. At least that's what wikipedia says...
"However, any game between two teams we play, you won't see; they have a neutral effect on our RPI."
I think this is technically untrue (though spiritually accurate: you don't need to show us those games' outcomes, that's for sure).
When two of our opponents play each other, the "record of our opponents" gets 1 win and 1 loss added to it. The result is that when our opponents play a game against each other, "our opponents' overall winning percentage" moves slightly closer to 50%. (E.g. If their record was 20-10 (.667), it'll change to 21-11 (.656).)
I've always wondered if this works to the disadvantage of teams in big conferences (more accurately, teams that play a greater percentage of their games in conference). For example, if a conference did a full round-robin and NO out-of-conference games, then everyone's "opponents' win %" would be 50%. (Which sucks.) As you add in OOC games, you could do better, or you could do worse -- but at least you have a chance to differentiate yourself.
I'm sure someone will correct me if I've misunderstood the formula. Just seems to me that everyone's "opponents' record" has a big N-N baked into it (where N is the number of games played between your opponents), and thus there's this big .500 anchor dragging down your RPI. You could argue this anchor weighs everyone equally, but that's only true if N is the same value for every team, which I'm sure it isn't.
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