A power outage yesterday prevented me from writing anything substantial, but I still managed to update the sims as promised. They're both surprising and anticlimactic, and perhaps surprisingly anticlimactic.
1 comment:
Anonymous
said...
The 97% figure is shocking. That means, among other things, that KenPom thinks Syracuse has less than a 3% chance of winning out.
Even the 88% figure (adjusted tiebreaker) is shocking. It suggests that UVA is likely to win the top seed even if UVA loses to Cuse, doesn't it? Cuse would have to lose 2 more games than we do (outside of the head-to-head) for that to happen.
I'd love to see what the odds look like if you assume a Syracuse win over Virginia (and give Syracuse the tiebreak over us as well).
I am a Virginia fan and this is my Blawgg. I began life as a diehard Michigan fan, and orange joined the maize and blue in my blood when, as a bright-eyed and bushy-tailed first year, I saw my first UVA football game on a hot September afternoon.
Here you will find impassioned and monumentally biased coverage of 'Hoos football in the fall, basketball in the winter, baseball and lacrosse in the spring, and everything else when the mood strikes me.
1 comment:
The 97% figure is shocking. That means, among other things, that KenPom thinks Syracuse has less than a 3% chance of winning out.
Even the 88% figure (adjusted tiebreaker) is shocking. It suggests that UVA is likely to win the top seed even if UVA loses to Cuse, doesn't it? Cuse would have to lose 2 more games than we do (outside of the head-to-head) for that to happen.
I'd love to see what the odds look like if you assume a Syracuse win over Virginia (and give Syracuse the tiebreak over us as well).
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