Alright, I have had this post planned for this particular day for like two weeks, and I will be damned if I'm going to let the sorry events of the past 24 or so hours change that. By which I mean Wake Forest and Jeff Banks. I can sum these events up with something you already know: this is Virginia, and we can't have nice things at Virginia.
I will, however, elaborate just a touch on Banks, who is leaving after less than two weeks to take a similar job, only with more money, at Texas A&M. Man, we must have really hit a home run with that hire for him to be that much in demand. Banks is probably getting something like twice the salary he was going to get in Charlottesville; it would be only natural to assume the extra money A&M is making in the SEC is the reason they were able to pull Banks away, and that our place in the ACC makes us financially uncompetitive.
Not so. The SEC is the hotter place to be for an assistant coach, yes. Even if we had matched A&M's offer dollar for dollar, the SEC would still be the better place for a coach's career, and besides that, Banks is buddy-buddy with Kevin Sumlin. His UVA Twitter account follows Sumlin's, Sumlin's old Houston account, and a Sumlin parody which actually owns the name @KevinSumlin. Besides, UVA's athletic department has revenues of over 80 million dollars; it's not a question of whether they can shuffle around some money to find an extra couple hundred grand, it's a question of how much they want to.
So now it's back to square one to find a special teams coach, and if London just hands those reins back to Poindexter I'll kill him myself. Probably they'll go hire one of their other finalists, but at any rate now there's now more work to do. One train of thought would say that Banks did a damn sleazy thing to "the people here" in Charlottesville that he claimed to have fallen in love with. Show up, do a couple days' work, parlay that into a new gig, take the hell off and leave the people who gave you a great opportunity in the lurch. Another train of thought is that it's hard to pass up a chance to coach a better team in a better conference for twice the money and work for a pretty old friend. Coaching, after all, is that kind of a profession. Both are correct. But really, the least Banks could do is return whatever paycheck UVA may have given him or "owes" him for the "work" he did.
As for the Wake Forest thing, all I can say is the selection committee is probably going to spend more time on UVA than all the rest of the teams under consideration combined, if this keeps up.
Right, now for the part I had intended for this all along. One last look at the 2012 football season and the first one at 2013. There's no such thing as an offseason.
QUARTERBACKS
This year....
For this post last year I wrote of 2012: "There's no reason to think there will be any kind of competition in camp this year." At the time, of course, there was also no reason to think Phillip Sims would transfer to Charlottesville. He did, and just when it looked like we might finally have a drama-free season under center, instead the drama kicked into overdrive.
Sims and Mike Rocco were the only two players to take a quarterback snap, as David Watford and the rest of the gang redshirted. Neither played well. Sometimes they did, but more often they played worse, and you could never tell which you were going to get out of either. And yes, that's the scientific version.
After letting Rocco start the season and quarterback his way into a few losses, Mike London had Sims take over, and Sims's play went straight downhill until London decided on a full-on platoon. Sims's arm strength and beautiful spirals looked great except for when they landed harmlessly 20 yards from anyone who could catch them. Rocco's leadership and superior knowledge of the playbook were an asset until he led the ball straight into the hands of a defensive back. Ultimately the season was living proof that when you have two quarterbacks, you really have none; the only plausible justification for the platoon was that whatever skill one had, the other did not.
Next year....
It's totally possible we'll see more of the same. One really, really hopes that London will learn his lesson about QB platoons, or else let Bill Lazor and Tom O'Brien convince him to pick one guy and stick with him. At any rate, spring and fall camp will be interesting; with Watford, Matt Johns, and Greyson Lambert all having used up their redshirt (not to mention Sims) it will be a full-blown, no-holds-barred competition in the camps. Again. Brendan Marshall and Corwin Cutler will not be factors in 2013, so it's a four-way race. The favorites will be Sims and Lambert. Both are strong-armed pocket passers, which is a good thing if you're like me and in the pick-one-dammit camp; the differences between the two will be easier to spot because they won't be obscured by different styles. I'm not stupid enough to try and actually predict in January who'll take the snaps in September, though.
RUNNING BACKS/FULLBACKS
This year....
The biggest story was either Perry Jones's regression or the lack of use (yet no redshirt) for Clifton Richardson. Jones actually was UVA's top receiver, but somehow morphed from the one-cut back he was in his junior year to an indecisive nibbler, and ran for barely half his 2011 rushing total. Baffling. Richardson, meanwhile, got basically garbage-time carries and ran for fewer yards than both Rocco and Khalek Shepherd. If he was going to be so little-used there was really no reason for him to play at all. Also baffling.
Kevin Parks, meanwhile, emerged as UVA's top back, albeit with not many more rushing yards than he had in 2011. But he did show up as a much bigger threat in the passing game, and was an effective goal-line option when the line deigned to block for him. Parks, in short, has demonstrated the capability to be a workhorse; UVA probably will not ever use him like one, but he could carry the load if he had to.
Zach Swanson stepped in as the starting "fullback" but never carried the ball; he did get eight receptions but was rather a disappointment in the blocking game. Since Billy Skrobacz pretty much never got in the game after making a few waves in fall camp, UVA basically didn't have a fullback, since Swanson was more of an H-back anyway.
Next year....
There will be a new coach at the position and an embarrassment of riches on the field. Jones will be gone, which will deprive us of a pass-catching threat out of the backfield but also remove the temptation for the coaching staff to try and use a near-midget as a short-yardage sledgehammer. Parks will return, of course. Richardson will return, hopefully with too much talent to be wasted like he was this year. (He likely will need to work on his pass-blocking, though, or risk ending up like Torrey Mack, who was unplayable due to the fact that his presence on the field screamed run play.) Khalek Shepherd flashed some talent at times, and Kye Morgan comes off a redshirt year.
There will be an odd man out somewhere, though; UVA's freshman class will include a super-elite talent in the form of Taquan Mizzell, who ain't redshirting. Mizzell is an excellent pass-catcher to the point that he was asked to play slot receiver in the Army All-American game, and should more than make up for the loss of Jones in the receiving game. And he might just have the best pure running skills in a UVA uniform since Thomas Jones. If the offensive line improves and actually opens some holes, this is a group of running backs that will make life miserable for opposing defenses. They'll go as far as the line will let them.
WIDE RECEIVERS/TIGHT ENDS
This year....
He was only fifth on the team in receptions and sixth in yardage, but clearly, the biggest revelation in the receiving corps was tight end Jake McGee. He announced his presence in style against Penn State with a one-handed catch of a Rocco desperation heave - while being interfered with - on a drive that culminated in the game-winning touchdown. McGee made a few other early-season spectacular catches as well and proved to be one of the most difficult covers on the team.
There were a few disappointments in this group. Dominique Terrell wasn't very consistent and dropped too many passes, and he wasn't the only one guilty of the latter sin. Tim Smith had another injury-hampered season, and McGee was the only true pass-catching threat among the tight ends. But the good ultimately outweighed the bad. When on, Terrell was a very valuable slot receiver. When healthy, Smith was the dangerous medium-to-deep threat he was advertised to be. Darius Jennings emerged as a sophomore to be UVA's best and most versatile receiving threat, and E.J. Scott did a very nice job too as a guy who could keep defenses honest. There were problems here, but on balance the receivers were a clear asset.
Next year....
If those problems diminish with experience, things could go really well for these units. The only losses to graduation will be tight ends Colter Phillips and Paul Freedman, who were respectable blockers but didn't make a dent in the passing game. There are so many receivers that it would be hard to see this group not losing one or two more to regular attrition and transfers, but it's a very deep group and can take the hit.
I would expect Jennings to continue to develop into a potential all-ACC player. Scott, Smith, and Terrell will keep doing their thing, though Terrell is the most likely of those three to be marginalized if he doesn't fix the drops issue. McGee, if he can put on weight and still be a big athletic receiving target, has a chance to develop from a curiosity to a real terror. You'd like to see room for contributions from guys like Adrian Gamble and Canaan Severin, maybe Miles Gooch, but they'll probably be stuck on the fringes for another year unless something happens to one of the upper-echelon guys. Part of it will depend on who wins the quarterback derby; the winner may favor certain receivers over others, it's just the nature of quarterbacks.
OFFENSIVE LINE
This year....
Uck. The supposed strength of the line (the tackles) was a liability at times, and the supposed liability (the interior) was still a liability. Let's start on the inside. Cody Wallace was the chosen replacement for Anthony Mihota at center, but was replaced by Luke Bowanko in fall camp and bumped to guard. Then he was bumped to the bench by Conner Davis, who was better but not by a lot. Bowanko struggled with the transition, his shotgun snaps were noticably slow and floaty which threw off the timing of a lot of plays (though that improved as the season went on), and he had a tough time getting the snap off and immediately executing a blocking assignment. A lot of the pressure on the quarterbacks came straight up the middle. Sean Cascarano was OK at guard, but Matt Mihalik's snaps, when he came off the bench, were generally a waste of time.
Oday Aboushi was getting first-round talk as an NFL draft prospect, but murdered his draft stock this season and probably will not go earlier than the middle of the second round, or maybe the third. He was still good - he did earn a place on the all-ACC first team, after all - but not as good as the preseason hype. He racked up too many holding penalties. On the other side, Morgan Moses was abused all season by speed rushers taking advantage of his poor side-to-side footwork. He simply could not shuffle to his right quickly enough. The basic sum of it was that Aboushi was a very solid pass blocker and usually took his holding penalties in the run game, where Moses was still a devastating run blocker who got killed in pass protection.
Next year....
With any luck, adding TOB to the staff will be a boon for the offensive line. Aboushi will have to be replaced, and as much as I might have been down on him, he'll leave some big shoes to fill. Kelby Johnson probably gets the first crack at his left tackle job, but Jay Whitmire will push him. Moses will stick at right tackle.
The only graduation losses, though, are Aboushi and Mihalik, so there will be some good continuity. I suspect the center position will be up for some competition between Bowanko and Ross Burbank, the latter of whom has been groomed for the position for about a year and a half now. Cascarano and Davis are excellent candidates for improvement. The guards will be more critical than the tackles; there's less depth and therefore less margin for error. Two tackles - Michael Mooney and Sean Karl - are coming off redshirt seasons, but only one guard is (that'd be Ryan Doull.) Something tells me those positions aren't set in stone; London and Scott Wachenheim have shown a penchant for flexibility on the line and some of the depth might be moved around where it's needed. Burbank, for example, might get some work at guard if Bowanko hangs on to the center job.
Ultimately, this group will be the limiting reagent in the offensive chemistry equation. Plenty of talent exists at the skill positions, and we'll assume against all hope that not only will London settle on a quarterback, that quarterback will actually play pretty well. But Phillip Sims was awful under pressure and everyone else but Watford is a totally unknown quantity, so the line must improve its protection. And the offense's red-zone struggles were in direct proportion to the line's inability to block in short-yardage situations. You can't score in the red zone if you can't run the ball in the red zone, and we couldn't. Fix the line and we fix the offense.
***********************************************
Next week: the defense, assuming Jon Tenuta doesn't get offered a zillion bucks to go coach at Auburn or something.
Showing posts with label banks. Show all posts
Showing posts with label banks. Show all posts
Friday, January 11, 2013
Thursday, January 3, 2013
overhaul complete
Today, finally, Mike London (or Jon Oliver) finalized the overhaul of the football staff. Or appeared to finalize it; four coaches have been let go and four have been added, so that would seem to finish things off. I've been wrong before when I said "done," though, so, yeah. Anyway.
We already covered Jeff Banks, so I won't bother repeating myself. Marques Hagans needs no introduction. Those two, though, while perfectly good additions to the coaching staff (particularly Banks, I think, if mainly because it gives us someone who knows what he's doing on special teams) don't comprise the home run portion of the moves.
First, there's Tom O'Brien, who you'll remember as the one-time head coach at NC State, and before that, Boston College. TOB's official title is associate head coach for the offense and tight ends coach. Jon Tenuta is "associate head coach for the defense/defensive coordinator." This associate stuff is going to be pretty transparent to us, and truthfully I'd guess that TOB will handle more of that associate grunt work stuff than Tenuta will, since he's not also a coordinator.
What I'd love to do is evaluate Tenuta under the cold hard auspices of statistics, but that'd take longer than I've got; cfbstats.com only goes back to 2007 and the truth is that Tenuta's only spent two seasons in that time as an actual defensive coordinator; 2007 was his last year at Georgia Tech, he was never the DC at NC State, and only spent a year with the title at Notre Dame. So it's awfully hard to tell how much of the defense was really his.
Make no mistake, though, he's had his fingerprints on all of them. And Tenuta is one of the best-known defensive names in the business. So well-known that it's rather astounding UVA would land him; it just may have helped that this is his alma mater, and Scott Stadium is where he played his college ball. There probably isn't an assistant coach anywhere that's been involved in more rumors lately than Tenuta. Ohio State, LSU, and Illinois are three schools that were in various stages of hiring Tenuta and ultimately didn't, which has probably added somewhat to his celebrity.
Also adding to his celebrity: blitzes, and lots of them. UVA fans who wanted a "hyper-aggressive" defense have gotten their man. Blitzy blitz blitzes. No more of those drives where the offense runs the exact same wide receiver screen for eight yards a pop like six times in a row because the corners are playing that far off. (Of course, the fans that wanted "hyper-aggressive" lose the right to complain when we blitz a screen pass and it goes for 85 yards. Still.) Tenuta isn't known as much of a recruiter, but his presence is likely to be something of a recruiting chip among defensive players.
O'Brien isn't much of a recruiter either. In fact he's kind of milquetoast; his teams always seemed that way, at any rate. Very even tempered, which is weird for a Marine. But you can tell he knows his football just from the way he always took the 9th-rated recruiting class in the ACC to bowl after bowl after bowl. One wonders what might've happened if he could recruit.
Let's make no mistake, though: recruiting is not this team's problem, and these hires weren't made with recruiting in mind. They were done to shore up the X's and O's. And not even that so much as the mechanics of running a football team. TOB is probably one of the better details men out there, and that is not weird at all for a Marine. (Trust me. Nobody nitpicks like a Marine.) The staff turnover now looks like this:
HC: Mike London ->London
OC: Bill Lazor -> Lazor
DC: Jim Reid -> Jon Tenuta
QB: Bill Lazor -> Lazor
WR: Bill Lazor -> Marques Hagans
RB: Mike Faragalli -> Jeff Banks
TE: Shawn Moore -> Tom O'Brien
OL: Scott Wachenheim -> Wachenheim
DL: Jeff Hanson -> vacant
LB: Vincent Brown -> Brown
CB: Chip West -> West
S: Anthony Poindexter ->; Poindexter
ST: Anthony Poindexter -> Jeff Banks
RC: Jeff Hanson -> Chip West
People in new positions are duly highlighted. Not everything here is as it seems, though. There is no official defensive line coach; London just so happens to have his roots as a DL coach, and will probably take a more active role there, along with graduate assistant Jonathan Lewis, who's going into his second year. TOB didn't get hired just to coach tight ends; he and Wachenheim will probably work hand in hand with both the OL and TEs, as O'Brien has much experience coaching the offensive line in the past. Including right here in Charlottesville. Hagans's actual duties won't change much, except now he's getting paid for real and can go recruit. (Neither, for that matter, do Lazor's.)
(Speaking of recruiting, I wouldn't, by the way, get too focused on trying to pilfer any of NC State's class even though we hired most of the brains of their coaching staff. There isn't much to steal, for one thing, nor much room in our class, for another.)
The upshot in the end is that UVA has done absolutely the best it could do. Anyone wanting more than this is being stupidly unrealistic. Tenuta is one of the top defensive minds in the country. Jim Reid is a very good coach, but he's spent most of his career at the lower levels, below I-A football. Tom O'Brien's credentials are impeccable, and you should expect him to improve the offensive line as well as maybe even fix Mike London's time-management skills. Banks should be a massive upgrade on special teams. We sacrificed some recruiting ability in Reid and Shawn Moore, but Hagans should be able to help bridge that gap, and anyway, London, Poindexter, and West know what they're doing in that regard. If London can't succeed with this group, he can't succeed - and his successor may very well be on the staff now.
We already covered Jeff Banks, so I won't bother repeating myself. Marques Hagans needs no introduction. Those two, though, while perfectly good additions to the coaching staff (particularly Banks, I think, if mainly because it gives us someone who knows what he's doing on special teams) don't comprise the home run portion of the moves.
First, there's Tom O'Brien, who you'll remember as the one-time head coach at NC State, and before that, Boston College. TOB's official title is associate head coach for the offense and tight ends coach. Jon Tenuta is "associate head coach for the defense/defensive coordinator." This associate stuff is going to be pretty transparent to us, and truthfully I'd guess that TOB will handle more of that associate grunt work stuff than Tenuta will, since he's not also a coordinator.
What I'd love to do is evaluate Tenuta under the cold hard auspices of statistics, but that'd take longer than I've got; cfbstats.com only goes back to 2007 and the truth is that Tenuta's only spent two seasons in that time as an actual defensive coordinator; 2007 was his last year at Georgia Tech, he was never the DC at NC State, and only spent a year with the title at Notre Dame. So it's awfully hard to tell how much of the defense was really his.
Make no mistake, though, he's had his fingerprints on all of them. And Tenuta is one of the best-known defensive names in the business. So well-known that it's rather astounding UVA would land him; it just may have helped that this is his alma mater, and Scott Stadium is where he played his college ball. There probably isn't an assistant coach anywhere that's been involved in more rumors lately than Tenuta. Ohio State, LSU, and Illinois are three schools that were in various stages of hiring Tenuta and ultimately didn't, which has probably added somewhat to his celebrity.
Also adding to his celebrity: blitzes, and lots of them. UVA fans who wanted a "hyper-aggressive" defense have gotten their man. Blitzy blitz blitzes. No more of those drives where the offense runs the exact same wide receiver screen for eight yards a pop like six times in a row because the corners are playing that far off. (Of course, the fans that wanted "hyper-aggressive" lose the right to complain when we blitz a screen pass and it goes for 85 yards. Still.) Tenuta isn't known as much of a recruiter, but his presence is likely to be something of a recruiting chip among defensive players.
O'Brien isn't much of a recruiter either. In fact he's kind of milquetoast; his teams always seemed that way, at any rate. Very even tempered, which is weird for a Marine. But you can tell he knows his football just from the way he always took the 9th-rated recruiting class in the ACC to bowl after bowl after bowl. One wonders what might've happened if he could recruit.
Let's make no mistake, though: recruiting is not this team's problem, and these hires weren't made with recruiting in mind. They were done to shore up the X's and O's. And not even that so much as the mechanics of running a football team. TOB is probably one of the better details men out there, and that is not weird at all for a Marine. (Trust me. Nobody nitpicks like a Marine.) The staff turnover now looks like this:
HC: Mike London ->London
OC: Bill Lazor -> Lazor
DC: Jim Reid -> Jon Tenuta
QB: Bill Lazor -> Lazor
WR: Bill Lazor -> Marques Hagans
RB: Mike Faragalli -> Jeff Banks
TE: Shawn Moore -> Tom O'Brien
OL: Scott Wachenheim -> Wachenheim
DL: Jeff Hanson -> vacant
LB: Vincent Brown -> Brown
CB: Chip West -> West
S: Anthony Poindexter ->; Poindexter
ST: Anthony Poindexter -> Jeff Banks
RC: Jeff Hanson -> Chip West
People in new positions are duly highlighted. Not everything here is as it seems, though. There is no official defensive line coach; London just so happens to have his roots as a DL coach, and will probably take a more active role there, along with graduate assistant Jonathan Lewis, who's going into his second year. TOB didn't get hired just to coach tight ends; he and Wachenheim will probably work hand in hand with both the OL and TEs, as O'Brien has much experience coaching the offensive line in the past. Including right here in Charlottesville. Hagans's actual duties won't change much, except now he's getting paid for real and can go recruit. (Neither, for that matter, do Lazor's.)
(Speaking of recruiting, I wouldn't, by the way, get too focused on trying to pilfer any of NC State's class even though we hired most of the brains of their coaching staff. There isn't much to steal, for one thing, nor much room in our class, for another.)
The upshot in the end is that UVA has done absolutely the best it could do. Anyone wanting more than this is being stupidly unrealistic. Tenuta is one of the top defensive minds in the country. Jim Reid is a very good coach, but he's spent most of his career at the lower levels, below I-A football. Tom O'Brien's credentials are impeccable, and you should expect him to improve the offensive line as well as maybe even fix Mike London's time-management skills. Banks should be a massive upgrade on special teams. We sacrificed some recruiting ability in Reid and Shawn Moore, but Hagans should be able to help bridge that gap, and anyway, London, Poindexter, and West know what they're doing in that regard. If London can't succeed with this group, he can't succeed - and his successor may very well be on the staff now.
Saturday, December 15, 2012
specialer teams
Sometimes I sit around all day and wonder what I'm gonna write, and then the world goes "oh fine, here you go." According to everybody, UVA finally got around to filling some of its self-made coaching staff gaps tonight, or at least, someone figured it out and told everyone tonight. It would appear the coaching staff is acutely aware of the need to drastically repair the special teams, which is nice because special teams is why this team is not practicing for a bowl game right now. How can we tell? They went out and hired a real special teams coach: Jeff Banks, formerly of UTEP. That staff is scattering a bit with the retirement of Mike Price, and UVA is the beneficiary. Now we'll have a special teams coach with a position attached to his duties, instead of the other way round. Banks will coach the running backs as well. At UTEP he also had the title of "punters coach" but whatever, when you're the special teams coach you're coaching the punters so that's like giving Vincent Brown the adjunct title of "middle linebackers coach" in addition to what he already does.
I took the liberty of distilling a few stats from the last six years to see what kind of a special teams upgrade we'd be getting. Banks has been on Price's staff since he was hired in 2004, so why only the last six years? Because that's how far back the cfbstats website goes, and you get much further back than that and wasn't it, like, Ron Prince coaching special teams? I don't even remember. And it isn't exactly relevant. Six years gives us Groh's last three, plus three years of London with Anthony Poindexter's disastrous tenure, and that's good enough.
Punt returning:
UVA - 6.4 ypr; avg. rank 90th
UTEP - 10.8 ypr; avg. rank 45th
Kick returning:
UVA - 20.5 ypr; avg. rank 78th
UTEP - 22.7 ypr; avg. rank 46th
Opponents' punt returns:
UVA - 8.6 ypr; avg. rank 62nd
UTEP - 8.8 ypr; avg. rank 66th
Opponents' kick returns:
UVA - 22.0 ypr; avg. rank 70th
UTEP - 23.0 ypr; avg. rank 83rd
Again, those are cumulative averages from 2007-2012. This year, of course, was an unmitigated disaster in all respects; in the one area where UVA held a clear advantage over UTEP in the past six years (opponents' kick returns) this last one was totally putrid. We ranked 123rd out of 124 and were one of only three teams to allow three returns of 90 yards or more.
So, what conclusions can we reliably draw? Probably none, as usual, but as usual, we'll try anyway.
-- First, the bad. UTEP's kick coverage has been kind of junky, actually. This was the first year in the past six that their kick coverage was in the top half of the country. It's not like ours has been awesome either, but it's generally outperformed UTEP's, and that's even with the pile of donkey feces that our kick coverage was this season.
-- Punt coverage slightly outperformed UTEP's, as well. But the difference has been slight, aided somewhat by a really nice year in 2008, for whatever reason that was. (UVA ranked 16th.) And of course, it went in the tank this year along with the rest of the units.
-- However. All other things being equal, I argue this: coverage units rely more on athleticism and speed than return units do, and return units rely more on scheme and blocking technique than coverage units do. The one is never to the exclusion of the other, but coverage units try to create chaos and unpredictability while return units must try and get everything working just right. Entropy and the odds favor coverage units, and therefore coverage favors athleticism over scheme. And in the areas where scheme and coaching dominate, Banks's UTEP units killed ours. Especially in punt returning. In four of the last six years, UTEP averaged double-digit yardage on a punt return, which is a tremendously difficult thing to do as only about one-quarter to one-third of the nation's teams do that each year. Their average of 4.4 yards more per return than our results is equally astounding. The results from the past few years suggest that of all the special teams things Poindexter did badly, punt returns were the worst.
-- The results from the past few years, in fact, suggest that Poindexter really didn't have a clue what he was doing in this area. Coverage units muddled along on the athleticism that London recruited, except for this year when they bombed spectacularly. Return units bumblefucked around the field. Groh's special teams were generally better, but not always.
-- In two of the past three years, Banks had top-ten kick return units, and was 35th in 2012. And that was with three different returners. I checked.
One hopes, at the very least, that proper coaching combined with the better athletes that UVA can recruit will bring our special teams to some middling kind of level in 2013. To be honest, that's all I've wanted for a while. The last two years have been excruciating whenever they were on the field. Banks comes highly recommended by most opinions I've seen, however.
Conspiracy theorists will point to the Washington State connection; that is, Jon Oliver's old stomping grounds. Banks was there at the same time Oliver was. Yes, in a role that will be a help in his future tutelage of Alec Vozenilek. I'm more than inclined to believe the WSU connection here is a pure coincidence; anyone who thinks this bears too many Oliver fingerprints should be reminded that if he were surrounding himself with trusted Wazzu lieutenants they wouldn't be coaching special teams and running backs.
I have not, by the way, included any running backs analysis in this post, and that's on purpose since I don't think there's any statistical way to evaluate a running backs coach. They don't do much. RB is not a technique-heavy position and there aren't many of them on the roster, so if I couldn't get my way and have the head coach run special teams for the accountability message, this is the way to go. There isn't much to distract Banks from the special teams.
The coaching turnover now looks like this so far:
HC: Mike London --> London
OC: Bill Lazor --> Lazor
DC: Jim Reid --> ???
QB: Bill Lazor --> Lazor
WR: Bill Lazor --> Marques Hagans**
RB: Mike Faragalli --> Jeff Banks
TE: Shawn Moore --> ???
OL: Scott Wachenheim --> Wachenheim
DL: Jeff Hanson --> ???
LB: Vincent Brown --> Brown
CB: Chip West --> West
S: Anthony Poindexter --> Poindexter
ST: Anthony Poindexter --> Jeff Banks
RC: Jeff Hanson --> ???
**presumably.
Assuming Hagans is announced as the other offensive addition to the staff, and he's been out and about on the recruiting trail so this seems like a foregone conclusion, he'll almost certainly get the WRs now that RB has been filled. Whether he gets the TEs or whether they get assigned back to Wachenheim is a tossup. By my calculation, and I could easily be wrong but the arrows don't point that way, there are two more coaches to hire: DC and DL. And does it seem odd we went special teams coach hunting before hiring a defensive coordinator? Yes. Could it mean that we've picked one but maybe he's coaching somewhere, like maybe in the Music City Bowl, and can't be announced til that's over with? That would be nice.
I took the liberty of distilling a few stats from the last six years to see what kind of a special teams upgrade we'd be getting. Banks has been on Price's staff since he was hired in 2004, so why only the last six years? Because that's how far back the cfbstats website goes, and you get much further back than that and wasn't it, like, Ron Prince coaching special teams? I don't even remember. And it isn't exactly relevant. Six years gives us Groh's last three, plus three years of London with Anthony Poindexter's disastrous tenure, and that's good enough.
Punt returning:
UVA - 6.4 ypr; avg. rank 90th
UTEP - 10.8 ypr; avg. rank 45th
Kick returning:
UVA - 20.5 ypr; avg. rank 78th
UTEP - 22.7 ypr; avg. rank 46th
Opponents' punt returns:
UVA - 8.6 ypr; avg. rank 62nd
UTEP - 8.8 ypr; avg. rank 66th
Opponents' kick returns:
UVA - 22.0 ypr; avg. rank 70th
UTEP - 23.0 ypr; avg. rank 83rd
Again, those are cumulative averages from 2007-2012. This year, of course, was an unmitigated disaster in all respects; in the one area where UVA held a clear advantage over UTEP in the past six years (opponents' kick returns) this last one was totally putrid. We ranked 123rd out of 124 and were one of only three teams to allow three returns of 90 yards or more.
So, what conclusions can we reliably draw? Probably none, as usual, but as usual, we'll try anyway.
-- First, the bad. UTEP's kick coverage has been kind of junky, actually. This was the first year in the past six that their kick coverage was in the top half of the country. It's not like ours has been awesome either, but it's generally outperformed UTEP's, and that's even with the pile of donkey feces that our kick coverage was this season.
-- Punt coverage slightly outperformed UTEP's, as well. But the difference has been slight, aided somewhat by a really nice year in 2008, for whatever reason that was. (UVA ranked 16th.) And of course, it went in the tank this year along with the rest of the units.
-- However. All other things being equal, I argue this: coverage units rely more on athleticism and speed than return units do, and return units rely more on scheme and blocking technique than coverage units do. The one is never to the exclusion of the other, but coverage units try to create chaos and unpredictability while return units must try and get everything working just right. Entropy and the odds favor coverage units, and therefore coverage favors athleticism over scheme. And in the areas where scheme and coaching dominate, Banks's UTEP units killed ours. Especially in punt returning. In four of the last six years, UTEP averaged double-digit yardage on a punt return, which is a tremendously difficult thing to do as only about one-quarter to one-third of the nation's teams do that each year. Their average of 4.4 yards more per return than our results is equally astounding. The results from the past few years suggest that of all the special teams things Poindexter did badly, punt returns were the worst.
-- The results from the past few years, in fact, suggest that Poindexter really didn't have a clue what he was doing in this area. Coverage units muddled along on the athleticism that London recruited, except for this year when they bombed spectacularly. Return units bumblefucked around the field. Groh's special teams were generally better, but not always.
-- In two of the past three years, Banks had top-ten kick return units, and was 35th in 2012. And that was with three different returners. I checked.
One hopes, at the very least, that proper coaching combined with the better athletes that UVA can recruit will bring our special teams to some middling kind of level in 2013. To be honest, that's all I've wanted for a while. The last two years have been excruciating whenever they were on the field. Banks comes highly recommended by most opinions I've seen, however.
Conspiracy theorists will point to the Washington State connection; that is, Jon Oliver's old stomping grounds. Banks was there at the same time Oliver was. Yes, in a role that will be a help in his future tutelage of Alec Vozenilek. I'm more than inclined to believe the WSU connection here is a pure coincidence; anyone who thinks this bears too many Oliver fingerprints should be reminded that if he were surrounding himself with trusted Wazzu lieutenants they wouldn't be coaching special teams and running backs.
I have not, by the way, included any running backs analysis in this post, and that's on purpose since I don't think there's any statistical way to evaluate a running backs coach. They don't do much. RB is not a technique-heavy position and there aren't many of them on the roster, so if I couldn't get my way and have the head coach run special teams for the accountability message, this is the way to go. There isn't much to distract Banks from the special teams.
The coaching turnover now looks like this so far:
HC: Mike London --> London
OC: Bill Lazor --> Lazor
DC: Jim Reid --> ???
QB: Bill Lazor --> Lazor
WR: Bill Lazor --> Marques Hagans**
RB: Mike Faragalli --> Jeff Banks
TE: Shawn Moore --> ???
OL: Scott Wachenheim --> Wachenheim
DL: Jeff Hanson --> ???
LB: Vincent Brown --> Brown
CB: Chip West --> West
S: Anthony Poindexter --> Poindexter
ST: Anthony Poindexter --> Jeff Banks
RC: Jeff Hanson --> ???
**presumably.
Assuming Hagans is announced as the other offensive addition to the staff, and he's been out and about on the recruiting trail so this seems like a foregone conclusion, he'll almost certainly get the WRs now that RB has been filled. Whether he gets the TEs or whether they get assigned back to Wachenheim is a tossup. By my calculation, and I could easily be wrong but the arrows don't point that way, there are two more coaches to hire: DC and DL. And does it seem odd we went special teams coach hunting before hiring a defensive coordinator? Yes. Could it mean that we've picked one but maybe he's coaching somewhere, like maybe in the Music City Bowl, and can't be announced til that's over with? That would be nice.
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